Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Gernika		Izarra

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.5
	2	3.05	3.65
	2.06	3.03	3.92
	2.01	3.1	3.81
	2	3.05	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.82)	3.05 ↓ (3.25)	3.71 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
45.4%

Draw
30%

Izarra
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

27.2%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Izarra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gernika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izarra than the current prediction. (-3%)

Gernika - Izarra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Baque ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Hoyos J. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
62', 2 - 1, Baque ⚽,
77', 3 - 1, Fernandez Pacheco A. ⚽,
81', 3 - 2, Martinez E. ⚽,
90', 4 - 2, Baque ⚽,
90+2', 5 - 2, Baque ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gernika won 2.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Izarra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gernika will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Gernika won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.4:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Gernika won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.09.24	Teruel - Gernika	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	UD Logroñés - Gernika	3:1 ✺
15.09.24	Gernika - Alavés B	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Zaragoza B - Gernika	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Gernika - Alfaro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTTL
- CD Izarra
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.09.24	Izarra - UD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
25.09.24	Poblense - Izarra	4:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.09.24	Alavés B - Izarra	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Izarra - Zaragoza B	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Alfaro - Izarra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.01.24	Izarra - Gernika	2:2
03.09.23	Gernika - Izarra	1:1
12.03.23	Izarra - Gernika	1:2
23.10.22	Gernika - Izarra	2:1
23.01.22	Izarra - Gernika	1:1
05.09.21	Gernika - Izarra	1:1
28.04.19	Gernika - Izarra	0:1

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