Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 16

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Pinilla (Teruel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Aragon TV


	Teruel		Zaragoza B

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.33
	1.68	3.5	4.5
	1.74	3.4	4.93
	1.7	3.44	4.79	Watch
	1.74	3.5	4.51
	1.68	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.27)	3.46 ↑ (3)	4.59 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teruel
53.7%

Draw
26.4%

Zaragoza B
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

30.2%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teruel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Teruel's performance.

Zaragoza B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zaragoza B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Teruel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza B than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zaragoza B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Teruel - Zaragoza B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Aragues C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+4', Barrachina H. 🟥,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Teruel won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Teruel is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Teruel won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.3:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Teruel won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Teruel - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.06%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Teruel
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.12.24	Teruel - Utebo	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Alfaro - Teruel	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Teruel - Eibar B	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Real Sociedad C - Teruel	3:1 ✺
10.11.24	Teruel - Tudelano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTLT
- Zaragoza B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.12.24	Alfaro - Zaragoza B	2:0 ✺
01.12.24	Zaragoza B - Real Sociedad C	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	Subiza - Zaragoza B	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Zaragoza B - Barbastro	3:1 ✺
10.11.24	Anguiano - Zaragoza B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
05.02.23	Zaragoza B - Teruel	1:1
18.09.22	Teruel - Zaragoza B	3:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
14.03.21	Zaragoza B - Teruel	0:1
20.12.20	Teruel - Zaragoza B	1:0
12.01.20	Zaragoza B - Teruel	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.05.13	Teruel - Zaragoza B	1:1

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