Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 14

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Alfaro		Teruel

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2
	3.4	3.05	2.08
	3.64	3	2.16
	3.57	2.98	2.12	Watch
	3.45	3.18	2.09
	3.4	3.05	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.51)	3.04 ↓ (3.18)	2.09 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfaro
26.3%

Draw
30%

Teruel
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

28.9%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

28.5%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alfaro's form might have worsened.

Teruel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Teruel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alfaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Teruel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alfaro - Teruel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 1, Ruiz P. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Teruel will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alfaro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
24.11.24	Real Sociedad C - Alfaro	2:2 ✺
17.11.24	Alfaro - Subiza	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Barbastro - Alfaro	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Alfaro - Anguiano	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Alfaro - Tenerife	0:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWWLL
- CD Teruel
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
24.11.24	Teruel - Eibar B	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Real Sociedad C - Teruel	3:1 ✺
10.11.24	Teruel - Tudelano	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Subiza - Teruel	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Teruel - Ejea	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTWT

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