Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 24

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Teungueth		HLM

	1	X	2
	1.88	2.78	4.55
	2.12	2.6	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.12)	2.69 ↑ (2.6)	4.18 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teungueth
45%

Draw
33.5%

HLM
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

34.4%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

33.2%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teungueth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

HLM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Teungueth than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HLM than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Teungueth - HLM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 12).

Teungueth is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

HLM has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Teungueth could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Teungueth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Teungueth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Teungueth	30	13	15	2	21:6	15	54
11	ASC HLM	30	5	18	7	18:24	-6	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Teungueth FC
Senegal Ligue 1
19.04.26	Camberene - Teungueth	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Teungueth - Casa Sport	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Teungueth - Jaraaf	1:0 ✺
25.03.26	Pikine - Teungueth	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Teungueth - Sonacos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWWT
- HLM
Senegal Ligue 1
20.04.26	HLM - Stade de Mbour	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Wally Daan - HLM	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	HLM - AJEL de Rufisque	3:0 ✺
25.03.26	Ouakam - HLM	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Dakar SC - HLM	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
28.12.25	HLM - Teungueth	0:0
19.10.24	Teungueth - HLM	2:1

Teungueth - HLM: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide