Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 21

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	HLM		AJEL de Rufisque

	1	X	2
	3.55	2.28	2.58
	4.05	2.02	2.65
	4.09	2.14	2.67
	3.1	2.4	2.5
	3.87	2.33	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.61)	2.23 ↓ (2.29)	2.56 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HLM
24.2%

Draw
40.5%

AJEL de Rufisque
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

39.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

40.3%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HLM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

AJEL de Rufisque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HLM than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AJEL de Rufisque than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

HLM - AJEL de Rufisque Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - AJEL (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. AJEL (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

HLM has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

AJEL is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

AJEL will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, HLM won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, HLM won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AJEL	30	15	9	6	27:19	8	54
11	ASC HLM	30	5	18	7	18:24	-6	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HLM
Senegal Ligue 1
25.03.26	Ouakam - HLM	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Dakar SC - HLM	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	HLM - Camberene	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Pikine - HLM	0:0 ✺
09.02.26	HLM - Sonacos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWTTT
- AJEL de Rufisque
Senegal Ligue 1
25.03.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Camberene	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Casa Sport - AJEL de Rufisque	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Jaraaf	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Pikine - AJEL de Rufisque	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Sonacos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
07.12.25	AJEL de Rufisque - HLM	1:1
25.05.25	AJEL de Rufisque - HLM	0:0
05.01.25	HLM - AJEL de Rufisque	0:1

HLM - AJEL de Rufisque: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide