Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Thai Navy		Ayutthaya United

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.35
	2.6	3.35	2.27
	2.57	3.29	2.39
	2.55	3.2	2.35
	2.6	3.44	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.1)	3.36 ↓ (3.39)	2.36 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thai Navy
35.2%

Draw
26.8%

Ayutthaya United
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

27%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

18.1%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thai Navy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thai Navy's form might have worsened.

Ayutthaya United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ayutthaya United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thai Navy than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thai Navy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayutthaya United than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ayutthaya United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Navy has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ayutthaya United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Navy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Navy have a series of guest games.

Recently Ayutthaya United have a series of home games.

Navy will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Navy won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Navy won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thai Navy FC
Thai League 2
13.02.22	Kasetsart - Thai Navy	1:0 ✺
05.02.22	Rayong FC - Thai Navy	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	Rajpracha - Thai Navy	1:0 ✺
22.01.22	Nakhon Pathom United - Thai Navy	3:2 ✺
16.01.22	Lampang - Thai Navy	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLLT
- Ayutthaya United
Thai League 2
13.02.22	Ayutthaya United - Chiangmai	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Nakhon Pathom United - Ayutthaya United	0:0 ✺
30.01.22	Ayutthaya United - Trat	0:0 ✺
22.01.22	Ayutthaya United - Phrae United	2:2 ✺
15.01.22	Ayutthaya United - Muangkan United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
13.10.21	Ayutthaya United - Thai Navy	4:0
31.03.21	Thai Navy - Ayutthaya United	2:3
16.02.20	Ayutthaya United - Thai Navy	3:4

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