Match Info

Date: 16 April 2022, Saturday


	Thai Navy		Chainat

	1	X	2
	6.5	4	1.4
	6.6	4	1.37
	7.33	3.87	1.4
	7.5	4.25	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.98 ↑ (5.06)	4.03 ↑ (3.68)	1.39 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thai Navy
12.9%

Draw
22.3%

Chainat
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

24.5%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

24.2%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thai Navy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Chainat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chainat's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thai Navy than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chainat than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chainat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Navy won 0.

Navy is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chainat is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Navy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chainat is certain favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Navy won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 3-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Navy won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thai Navy FC
Thai League 2
09.04.22	Chiangmai - Thai Navy	2:1 ✺
01.04.22	Thai Navy - Khonkaen	3:0 ✺
26.03.22	Lamphun Warriors - Thai Navy	4:0 ✺
20.03.22	Thai Navy - Ranong United	1:1 ✺
13.03.22	MOF Customs United - Thai Navy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLTL
- Chainat FC
Thai League 2
10.04.22	Chainat - Lampang	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	Phrae United - Chainat	2:2 ✺
25.03.22	Chainat - Nakhon Pathom United	3:0 ✺
19.03.22	Muangkan United - Chainat	0:1 ✺
13.03.22	Chainat - Trat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
27.11.21	Chainat - Thai Navy	2:0
24.03.21	Thai Navy - Chainat	0:1
13.12.20	Chainat - Thai Navy	2:1
Thai League 1
04.08.18	Thai Navy - Chainat	2:2
11.04.18	Chainat - Thai Navy	1:0
26.06.16	Chainat - Thai Navy	1:0
05.03.16	Thai Navy - Chainat	0:0

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