Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 9

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: PAT Stadium (Bangkok)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Thai Port		Muangthong United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.7	3.55	Watch
	1.86	3.97	3.8
	1.70	3.96	3.97	Watch
	1.79	3.7	3.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.7)	3.83 ↓ (3.96)	3.76 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thai Port
51.5%

Draw
24%

Muangthong United
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Muangthong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thai Port than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Thai Port - Muangthong United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Muangthong United (1.70) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Thai Port will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Thai Port will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Port (votes: 4 - 50%). Muangthong United (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Falkesgaard M. (G) 4. Bureerat S. 36. Akkratum P. 22. Sulaka R. 3. Mangkualam A. 44. Kanitsribampen W. 33. Shimura N. 5. Chamratsamee P. (C) 27. Lucas Tocantins 18. Perea B. 12. Kaka Mendes	1. Gremsl A. (G) 19. Do T. (C) 4. Tsonkov S. 5. Orji N. 27. Kempter M. 8. Tasa K. 21. Thodsanit P. 34. Khamyok K. 6. Strauss J. 9. Lorenzen M. 18. Dunnwald-Turan K.
Substitutes
47. Boonlha S. 26. Buran C. 6. Karin C. 8. Kesarat T. 13. Lins M. 11. Matheus Pato 38. Phosri N. 14. Poeiphimai T. 7. Prempak P. 19. Supunpasuch C. 16. Wongchai C. 1. Yos S. (G)	28. Bua-ngnam A. 13. Falconer J. P. 29. Kraikruan S. 22. Nuntagowat T. 14. Panthong S. 23. Phosri S. 33. Pipatnadda K. (G) 11. Roback E. 15. Sattham J. . Thodsanid P. 40. Wettayawong K. 20. Yoosuebchuea S.
Coaches
Gama A.	Viwatchaichok R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Orji N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Thodsanit P. ↓, Panthong S. ↑,
49', Dunnwald-Turan K. 🟨,
61', Dunnwald-Turan K. ↓, Roback E. ↑,
62', Tasa K. ↓, Sattham J. ↑,
65', Kanitsribampen W. ↓, Poeiphimai T. ↑,
74', Kempter M. ↓, Yoosuebchuea S. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Lucas Tocantins ⚽, Kaka Mendes (A),
83', Shimura N. 🟨,
84', Lucas Tocantins ↓, Lins M. ↑,
84', Kaka Mendes ↓, Karin C. ↑,
84', Perea B. ↓, Matheus Pato ↑,
90+7', Chamratsamee P. ↓, Kesarat T. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port won 3.

Port has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Muangthong United has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Port is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Port won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Port won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thai Port FC
Thai League 1
18.10.25	Nakhon Ratchasima - Thai Port	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Thai Port - Kanchanaburi	8:0 ✺
28.09.25	Pathum United - Thai Port	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Thai Port - Chonburi	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Ratchaburi - Thai Port	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL
- Muangthong United
Thai League 1
18.10.25	Muangthong United - Bangkok United	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Lamphun Warriors - Muangthong United	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Nakhon Ratchasima - Muangthong United	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Muangthong United - Ratchaburi	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	Rayong FC - Muangthong United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
09.03.25	Muangthong United - Thai Port	1:2
27.10.24	Thai Port - Muangthong United	1:1
14.02.24	Thai Port - Muangthong United	4:3
28.08.23	Muangthong United - Thai Port	1:3
05.03.23	Thai Port - Muangthong United	2:3
09.10.22	Muangthong United - Thai Port	0:0
05.02.22	Muangthong United - Thai Port	2:1

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