Match Info

GREECE: SUPER LEAGUE 2 - ROUND 6

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Thesprotos		Apollon Pontou

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.05	2.43
	2.53	3.06	2.56
	2.75	2.9	2.5
	2.6	3.08	2.56
	2.7	3.1	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.27)	3.04 ↑ (2.67)	2.5 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thesprotos
34.1%

Draw
29.8%

Apollon Pontou
36.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.8%

33.9%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

26.4%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thesprotos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thesprotos's form might have worsened.

Apollon Pontou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Apollon Pontou's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thesprotos than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Pontou than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Thesprotos - Apollon Pontou Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Thesprotos will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Apollon Pontou will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thesprotos: 45% – 100%.

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Thesprotos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Thesprotos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thesprotos FC
Greek Super League 2
04.12.22	AEL Larissa - Thesprotos	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Thesprotos - Veria	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Makedonikos - Thesprotos	2:0 ✺
13.11.22	Thesprotos - Panathinaikos B	2:2 ✺
05.11.22	Panserraikos - Thesprotos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTLTT
- Apollon Pontou
Greek Super League 2
05.12.22	Apollon Pontou - Apollon Larissa	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Niki Volos - Apollon Pontou	3:0 ✺
20.11.22	Apollon Pontou - PAOK B	1:2 ✺
13.11.22	Iraklis Larissa - Apollon Pontou	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Apollon Pontou - Diagoras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League 2
01.05.22	Apollon Pontou - Thesprotos	0:0
06.02.22	Thesprotos - Apollon Pontou	1:2
Greek Football League
26.05.21	Thesprotos - Apollon Pontou	1:2

Thesprotos - Apollon Pontou