Match Info

National 2 - Group B - Round 30

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadium Plaine (Thionville)


	Thionville Lusitanos		Chambly

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.3
	1.96	3.96	2.86
	1.94	4.3	2.89	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.1
	2	3.68	3.03
	1.74	3.35	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.75)	3.68 ↑ (3.33)	3.25 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thionville Lusitanos
47.3%

Draw
24.7%

Chambly
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

27.2%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

30.2%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thionville Lusitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Chambly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chambly's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thionville Lusitanos than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thionville Lusitanos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chambly than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chambly, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Thionville Lusitanos - Chambly Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 4)
47', 0 - 1, ⚽,
69', 0 - 2, ⚽,
73', 0 - 3, ⚽,
89', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National and 14).

In recent matches, Thionville Lusitanos has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chambly is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Thionville Lusitanos is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Thionville Lusitanos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Thionville Lusitanos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Thionville Lusitanos
French National 1 - Group B
09.05.26	Borgo - Thionville Lusitanos	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Thionville Lusitanos - Bourges 18	1:4 ✺
25.04.26	Thionville Lusitanos - Chantilly	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Colmar - Thionville Lusitanos	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Thionville Lusitanos - Feignies Aulnoye	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWTW
- FC Chambly
French National 1 - Group B
09.05.26	Chambly - Colmar	6:0 ✺
02.05.26	Feignies Aulnoye - Chambly	3:0 ✺
24.04.26	Chambly - Dieppe	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Beauvais Oise - Chambly	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Chambly - Furiani-Agliani	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group C
17.01.25	Chambly - Thionville Lusitanos	2:1
24.08.24	Thionville Lusitanos - Chambly	1:1

Thionville Lusitanos - Chambly: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide