Match Info

Ligue 3 - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadium Plaine (Thionville)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Italy	Ligue 1+
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Thionville Lusitanos		Rouen FC

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.20	2.05
	3.1	3.25	2.12
	3.09	3.57	2.25
	3.03	3.33	2.16
	3.05	3.5	2.2
	3.12	3.43	2.18
	3.1	3.3	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.11)	3.37 ↑ (3.35)	2.15 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thionville Lusitanos
29.9%

Draw
27.4%

Rouen FC
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

27.4%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

26.4%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thionville Lusitanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Rouen FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thionville Lusitanos than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rouen FC than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Thionville Lusitanos - Rouen FC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Bedfian W. (G) 6. Aljic M. 15. Wanduka C. (C) 23. Bouzar S. 17. Luvualu D. 8. Kilic S. 12. Gobitaka F. 20. Diarra B. 26. Montet E. 7. Tubio K. 9. Bouhmidi K.	1. Maraval A. (G) 5. Gaspar J. 15. Lamgahez Z. 22. Mendy F. 18. Bassin C. (C) 13. Camara B. 28. Pacius W. 25. Diaby S. 11. Sommer N. 10. Karamoko I. 9. Tchokounte M.
Substitutes
21. Gouletquer A. 14. Kalambayi Mukuta S. 10. Labissiere B. 11. Laurens G. 22. Moustaid J. 16. Parisot A. (G) 27. Rampont M.	3. Borne M. 30. Desprez D. (G) 8. Egny G. 12. Toure A. 19. Tramoni L. 21. Traore S. 29. Viana J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', Bouzar S. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Tchokounte M. ⚽,
29', Gaspar J. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Karamoko I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Wanduka C. ↓, Kalambayi Mukuta S. ↑,
46', Gobitaka F. ↓, Moustaid J. ↑,
46', Aljic M. 🟨,
60', Bouhmidi K. ↓, Gouletquer A. ↑,
68', Luvualu D. ↓, Laurens G. ↑,
69', Laurens G. 🟨,
73', 0 - 3, Camara B. ⚽,
79', Tchokounte M. 🟨,
81', Kilic S. 🟨,
81', Moustaid J. 🟨,
82', Montet E. 🟨,
87', Sommer N. ↓, Egny G. ↑,
88', 0 - 4, Borne M. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Rouen FC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rouen FC is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rouen	9	6	2	1	17:5	12	20
9	Thionville	9	3	3	3	14:14	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Thionville Lusitanos
French Ligue 3
05.09.26	Concarneau - Thionville Lusitanos	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Thionville Lusitanos - Paris 13 Atletico	1:1 ✺
20.08.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Thionville Lusitanos	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Thionville Lusitanos - Caen	4:3 ✺
07.08.26	Aubagne - Thionville Lusitanos	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TTWWW
- Rouen FC
French Ligue 3
03.09.26	Rouen FC - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Villefranche - Rouen FC	0:2 ✺
20.08.26	Rouen FC - Quevilly	3:0 ✺
14.08.26	Orleans - Rouen FC	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Rouen FC - Cannes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWWT

Thionville Lusitanos - Rouen FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide