The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rouen FC 46.5%
Draw 27.9%
Concarneau 25.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.8%
27.1%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.2%
27.9%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rouen FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rouen FC's form might have worsened.
Concarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rouen FC than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rouen FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Concarneau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Rouen FC - Concarneau Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Ligue 2 and 5th in the Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion: )).
Rouen FC has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Concarneau is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Rouen FC is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Rouen FC has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rouen FC against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:3 goals (averaging 2:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Rouen
10
6
2
2
18:8
10
20
5
Concarneau
10
4
5
1
13:9
4
17
Outrights of French Ligue 3 for now
Rouen: 13.42% Concarneau: 6.19%
Last Results with these Odds
Concarneau - the odds 4.3 are the expected chance of winning is 21.09%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.