Match Info
Seconde Ligue Women - Round 15Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday
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Thonon Évian |
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Auxerre |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.83 |
3.27 |
2.30 |
Watch |
 |
3.66 |
3.5 |
1.94 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.25 ↓ (3.66) |
3.39 ↓ (3.5) |
2.12 ↑ (1.94) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Thonon Évian 28.7% | Draw 27.5% | Auxerre 43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thonon Évian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thonon Évian than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auxerre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women).Recent form of Thonon Évian has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).In recent matches, Auxerre has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). Auxerre could have a small edge in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Thonon Évian won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Auxerre W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
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| 9 | Thonon Evian W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;