Match Info

Division 1 - Round 6

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Thorsvollur (Akureyri)


	Thor Akureyri		Völsungur

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4.55	5.05
	1.46	4.92	5.93
	1.5	4.71	5.36	Watch
	1.44	4.5	5.5
	1.54	4.45	4.49	Watch
	1.44	4.55	5.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (2.95)	4.61 ↑ (3.67)	5.23 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thor Akureyri
62.5%

Draw
19.9%

Völsungur
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

24.6%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

24.7%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thor Akureyri's performance.

Völsungur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Völsungur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-31.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thor Akureyri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Völsungur than the current prediction. (+27%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Völsungur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

Thor Akureyri - Völsungur Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Thor will win (votes: 13 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thor: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Völsungur (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Völsungur (4.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Thor Akureyri will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Thor (votes: 6 - 75%). Völsungur (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stefansson A. (G) 5. Affi Y. 6. Balde I. 3. Guardia J. 37. Gunnarsson S. 18. Ingason S. 10. Magnusson A. 20. Ottosson V. 19. Ragnarsson R. 4. Runarsson H. 7. Sigurjonsson O.	1. Thorhallsson I. (G) 9. Adalsteinsson E. 6. Albizuri I. 10. Baldvinsson B. 4. Baldvinsson E. 14. Cardenas X. 11. Gunnarsson R. 5. Kristjansson A. 16. Robertsson J. 21. Salmi I. 39. Torfason G.
Substitutes
25. Arnason P. 13. Fridriksson K. 22. Fridriksson K. 24. Geirsson Y. 30. Helgason P. 28. Lalic F. (G) 27. Sindrason A.	15. Baldursson T. 23. Gudmundsson E. 17. Kristjansson A. 88. Sigurpalsson E. (G) 12. Sorensson G. 8. Steingrimsson O. 7. Thorsteinsson S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', Torfason G. 🟨,
4', Affi Y. 🟨,
15', Baldvinsson E. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Runarsson H. ⚽, Balde I. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Gunnarsson R. ⚽,
37', Sigurjonsson O. ↓, Sindrason A. ↑,
45', 1 - 2, Kristjansson A. ⚽, Torfason G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Cardenas X. 🟨,
49', Gunnarsson R. 🟨,
51', Guardia J. 🟨,
59', 1 - 3, Robertsson J. ⚽,
70', Affi Y. ↓, Geirsson Y. ↑,
70', Ingason S. ↓, Helgason P. ↑,
75', Torfason G. ↓, Gudmundsson E. ↑,
78', Runarsson H. 🟨,
78', Gudmundsson E. 🟨,
80', Baldvinsson B. 🟨,
81', Ottosson V. 🟨,
83', Baldvinsson B. ↓, Thorsteinsson S. ↑,
84', Ottosson V. ↓, Jonsson K. ↑,
90', Robertsson J. ↓, Steingrimsson O. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

Thor is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Völsungur is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Völsungur has had a series of away games.

In this match, Thor is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Thor will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Thor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Division 1
30.05.25	Thor Akureyri - Fylkir	4:1 ✺
24.05.25	Grindavik - Thor Akureyri	2:4 ✺
18.05.25	Thor Akureyri - Keflavík	2:4 ✺
Icelandic Cup
13.05.25	Selfoss - Thor Akureyri	1:4 ✺
Icelandic Division 1
09.05.25	Leiknir Reykjavík - Thor Akureyri	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWLWW
- Iþrottafelagið Völsungur
Icelandic Division 1
29.05.25	Throttur Reykjavik - Völsungur	4:1 ✺
24.05.25	Völsungur - Fjölnir	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Selfoss - Völsungur	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Njarðvík - Völsungur	5:1 ✺
03.05.25	IR Reykjavik - Völsungur	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Cup
12.06.20	Völsungur - Thor Akureyri	2:3 penalties

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