Match Info

Besta deild Women - Championship Group - Round 5

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Throttur		Grindavík Njarðvík

	1	X	2
	1.60	4.20	3.90
	1.56	4.35	4.15	Watch
	1.57	4.56	4.22
	1.59	4.61	4.13	Watch
	1.54	4.45	4.1
	1.54	4.33	4.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (2.16)	4.42 ↑ (3.5)	4.15 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Throttur
57.7%

Draw
20.5%

Grindavík Njarðvík
21.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

25.2%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

24%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Throttur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Throttur's performance.

Grindavík Njarðvík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grindavík Njarðvík might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Throttur than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Throttur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grindavík Njarðvík than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grindavík Njarðvík could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Throttur - Grindavík Njarðvík Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Swift M. (C) 27. Bergsdottir U. 7. Bjarnadottir B. F. 23. Bjornsdottir S. 10. Cousins K. 3. Funadottir M. 11. Gunnlaugsdottir B. 17. Holm K. 5. Kujundzic J. 14. Lelii S. 21. Rollins K.	14. Fox T. (G) 8. Armannsdottir K. 29. Colson H. 18. Einarsdottir A. 15. Einarsdottir T. 13. Jennings E. 22. Jonsdottir S. (C) 19. Karadottir B. E. 12. McLaughlin H. 17. Romine S. 16. Vuskane S. S.
Substitutes
19. Agustsdottir T. 77. Andreudottir B. N. 18. Antonsdottir K. 6. Bjorgvinsdottir R. 12. Ditta M. 22. Gudmunsdottir S. 4. Ingvarsdottir H. 8. Kjartansdottir A.	6. Birgisdottir B. 20. Blondal I. (G) 1. Bukovec S. (G) 9. Einarsdottir D. 3. Palmadottir B. 30. Palmadottir H. 26. Thasaphong J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Einarsdottir T. 🟨,
41', Jonsdottir S. ↓, Birgisdottir B. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Cousins K. ↓, Kjartansdottir A. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Lelii S. ⚽,
48', Birgisdottir B. 🟨,
51', 2 - 0, Lelii S. ⚽,
55', 2 - 1, Kujundzic J. ⚽,
56', Armannsdottir K. ↓, Palmadottir H. ↑,
60', 3 - 1, Bjarnadottir B. F. ⚽,
63', Jennings E. 🟨,
69', Lelii S. ↓, Gudmunsdottir S. ↑,
71', Swift M. 🟨,
71', 3 - 2, McLaughlin H. ⚽,
80', Einarsdottir T. ↓, Thasaphong J. ↑,
86', Rollins K. ↓, Andreudottir B. N. ↑,
87', Karadottir B. E. 🟨,
90+2', Vuskane S. S. 🟨,
90+2', Funadottir M. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Recently, Throttur has faced a series of away games on the road.

Throttur carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Throttur has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:10 (averaging 2.5:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Throttur against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:5 goals (averaging 3:2.5 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Throttur W	23	9	5	9	43:39	4	32
5	Grindavik/Njardvik W	23	8	5	10	33:43	-10	29

Last Results with these Odds

Throttur - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 40.85%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Throttur Women
Icelandic Besta deild Women
18.10.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Throttur	0:4 ✺
04.10.26	Breiðablik - Throttur	5:4 ✺
27.09.26	Throttur - Stjarnan	5:1 ✺
18.09.26	Vestmannaeyjar - Throttur	4:3 ✺
Icelandic Cup Women
12.09.26	Grindavík Njarðvík - Throttur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWLW
- Grindavík Njarðvík Women
Icelandic Besta deild Women
16.10.26	Grindavík Njarðvík - Vestmannaeyjar	2:1 ✺
02.10.26	Stjarnan - Grindavík Njarðvík	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Grindavík Njarðvík - FH Hafnarfjordur	3:2 ✺
17.09.26	Breiðablik - Grindavík Njarðvík	4:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup Women
12.09.26	Grindavík Njarðvík - Throttur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Cup Women
12.09.26	Grindavík Njarðvík - Throttur	1:2
Icelandic Besta deild Women
20.07.26	Grindavík Njarðvík - Throttur	4:2
11.05.26	Throttur - Grindavík Njarðvík	1:2
Icelandic League Cup Women
07.03.26	Throttur - Grindavík Njarðvík	5:3

Throttur - Grindavík Njarðvík