Match Info

ICELAND: BESTA DEILD WOMEN - ROUND 11

Date: 3 July 2023, Monday


	Throttur		Selfoss

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.2	5.25
	1.48	3.95	4.8
	1.49	4.56	5.55
	1.44	4	5.25
	1.44	4.55	5.75
	1.48	4.3	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.69)	4.26 ↑ (3.75)	5.3 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Throttur
61.7%

Draw
21.2%

Selfoss
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

24.2%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

21.7%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Throttur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Throttur's performance.

Selfoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Selfoss might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Throttur than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Throttur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Selfoss than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Selfoss could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Throttur - Selfoss Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Throttur will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Selfoss will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Throttur: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gunnarsdottir I. (G) 23. Bjornsdottir S. 12. Boychuk T. 10. Cousins K. 16. Eyjolfsdottir M. 8. Kjartansdottir R. 5. Kujundzic J. 22. McManus M. 2. Steinarsdottir S. 9. Thorvardardottir F. 17. Tryggvadottir K.	1. Jorgensen I. (G) 23. Antonsdottir K. 6. Asgeirsdottir B. 3. Atladottir S. 15. Bergsdottir U. 10. Gisladottir B. 7. Gudmundsdottir S. 18. Oskarsdottir E. 24. Sigurbjornsdottir A. 4. Thordardottir I. 16. Thordardottir K.
Substitutes
20. Hafsteinsdottir H. (G) 28. Hakonardottir H. 15. Hubertsdottir I. 7. Knudsen B. 21. Kristjansdottir L. 14. Lelii S. 19. Thorvaldsdottir E.	8. Agustsdottir K. 22. Geirsdottir G. 25. Halldorsdottir A. 20. Hlynsdottir H. 2. Jonsdottir B. 12. Sklopan G. 13. Torfadottir K. (G)

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild Women (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Besta deild Women (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Throttur won 3.

Recent matches Throttur is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Selfoss is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Throttur is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Throttur won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Throttur won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Throttur Women
Icelandic Besta deild Women
26.06.23	FH Hafnarfjordur - Throttur	0:0 ✺
21.06.23	Breiðablik - Throttur	2:2 ✺
Icelandic Cup Women
15.06.23	Throttur - Breiðablik	0:3 ✺
Icelandic Besta deild Women
12.06.23	Throttur - Keflavik	1:2 ✺
06.06.23	Tindastóll - Throttur	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTLLW
- UMF Selfoss Women
Icelandic Besta deild Women
26.06.23	Selfoss - Vestmannaeyjar	0:2 ✺
21.06.23	Selfoss - Stjarnan	2:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup Women
16.06.23	Vikingur - Selfoss	2:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta deild Women
11.06.23	Thor Akureyri - Selfoss	3:0 ✺
06.06.23	FH Hafnarfjordur - Selfoss	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta deild Women
04.05.23	Selfoss - Throttur	1:2
09.08.22	Throttur - Selfoss	3:0
09.05.22	Selfoss - Throttur	1:1
09.08.21	Selfoss - Throttur	2:2
Icelandic Cup Women
25.06.21	Selfoss - Throttur	1:4
Icelandic Besta deild Women
19.05.21	Throttur - Selfoss	3:4
26.09.20	Selfoss - Throttur	1:3

Throttur - Selfoss: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide