The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Throttur Reykjavik 57.6%
Draw 21.2%
Fjölnir 21.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.5%
20.4%
14.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.9%
19.7%
13.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Throttur Reykjavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Throttur Reykjavik's form might have worsened.
Fjölnir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fjölnir's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Throttur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Throttur Reykjavik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fjölnir than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fjölnir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
18.2%
9.1%
Throttur Reykjavik - Fjölnir Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH -1 - Throttur (1.95) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Users Predictions:
Throttur Reykjavik will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Throttur Reykjavik will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
1. Gudmundsson T. (G) 2. Blondal E. 6. Einarsson E. 21. Hardarson B. 32. Ingason A. 33. Ingvarsson U. 80. Jeffs L. 22. Kristjansson K. 45. Sigurdsson V. 20. Steinarsson V. 4. Thorhallsson N.
13. Stefansson S. (G) 10. Arnarsson K. 11. Hafstein B. T. 3. Haraldsson R. 26. Hardarson E. O. 23. Hilmarsson H. 14. Ingvarsson D. 16. Jorgensson M. 4. Orrason T. 9. Sigursteinsson A. 45. Thrastarson R.
Substitutes
7. Erlingsson E. 5. Gudbergsson K. 27. Gudmundsson S. 9. Hafthorsson V. 19. Haraldsson B. 12. Jonsson B. (G) 10. Sigurdsson J.
25. Hardarson S. (G) 18. Johannsson T. 7. Jonasson O. 27. Sigmarsson S. 15. Sigurjonsson F. 8. Thorhalsson O. 20. Vilhjalmsson E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
16', Orrason T. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Hilmarsson H. ⚽, Haraldsson R. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Hafstein B. T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Steinarsson V. ↓, Erlingsson E. ↑,
47', Blondal E. 🟨,
53', 0 - 3, Thrastarson R. ⚽, Hafstein B. T. (A),
55', Jorgensson M. 🟨,
56', Sigurdsson V. ↓, Sigurdsson J. ↑,
60', 0 - 4, Sigursteinsson A. ⚽,
67', Sigursteinsson A. 🟨,
67', Jeffs L. ↓, Hafthorsson V. ↑,
67', Thorhallsson N. ↓, Gudbergsson K. ↑,
75', Hafstein B. T. 🟨,
76', Hardarson E. O. ↓, Johannsson T. ↑,
76', Thrastarson R. ↓, Sigurjonsson F. ↑,
78', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
78', Sigursteinsson A. 🟨,
84', 1 - 4, Sigurdsson J. ⚽, Blondal E. (A),
84', Kristjansson K. ↓, Haraldsson B. ↑,
85', Johannsson T. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Throttur won 1.
Throttur is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Fjölnir has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Throttur is the team to beat.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Throttur won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:43. (average 1.1:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Throttur won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.4:2.1).
Watch
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