Match Info

GREECE: Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 - Round 23

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday


	Thyella Rafina		Marko

	1	X	2
				Watch
	13.7	5	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.7 ↑ (4.75)	5 ↑ (3.63)	1.21 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thyella Rafina
6.6%

Draw
18.2%

Marko
75.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

25.1%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

24.4%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thyella Rafina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thyella Rafina's form might have worsened.

Marko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thyella Rafina than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thyella Rafina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marko than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent matches Thyella Rafina is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marko is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Thyella Rafina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Thyella Rafina have a series of home games.

In this match Marko is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Thyella Rafina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Thyella Rafina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thyella Rafina
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
02.02.25	Thyella Rafina - Ethnikos Piraeus	0:3 ✺
26.01.25	Ilisiakos - Thyella Rafina	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Thyella Rafina - Thiva	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Thyella Rafina - Haidari	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Thyella Rafina - Asteras Kaisarianis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTWWT
- FC Marko Markopoulo
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
08.02.25	Marko - Kyanos Asteras Vari	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Marko - Nea Ionia	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Giouchtas - Marko	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Ilisiakos - Marko	1:2 ✺
15.12.24	Marko - Thiva	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
27.10.24	Marko - Thyella Rafina	1:1
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
18.02.24	Thyella Rafina - Marko	1:0
14.10.23	Marko - Thyella Rafina	1:2
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
27.11.22	Marko - Thyella Rafina	2:1
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
16.11.19	Thyella Rafina - Marko	0:3

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