Match Info

Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Caliente (Tijuana)

Referee: Sanchez G. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Tubi TV
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Tijuana		Atlético San Luis

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.45	6.1
	1.39	4.85	7.17
	1.51	4.06	6.08	Watch
	1.48	4.1	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.69)	4.37 ↑ (3.81)	6.5 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tijuana
64.4%

Draw
21.3%

Atlético San Luis
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

23.8%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

24%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tijuana's performance.

Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético San Luis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tijuana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético San Luis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Tijuana - Atlético San Luis Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Tijuana (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tijuana will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Madueno A. (G) 12. Ceja K. 16. Curiel A. 3. Enrigue J. (C) 24. Fong M. 11. Fuentes D. 9. Magaia H. 17. Motau A. 4. Ojeda D. 28. Quintos B. 20. Trevithick K.	1. Zarate A. (G) 19. Caicedo F. 4. Cano Garcia K. L. 17. Contreras R. 2. Gonzalez Diaz A. 27. Hernandez-Represa E. (C) 9. Higuera E. 6. Izquierdo I. 26. Lopez A. 16. Martinez A. 23. Rivera D.
Substitutes
30. Andonaegui M. 22. Bautista E. 34. Chagolla B. 26. Claiborne A. 25. Cota R. (G) 2. Diaz K. 21. Hernandez I. 8. Marroquin A. M. 19. Munguia Haros M. 6. Verdugo E.	12. Aguirre M. (G) 18. Castillo Mayo J. 14. Flores M. 20. Garcia Munoz K. V. 22. Gutierrez M. 5. Hernandez C. 11. Kasis I. 7. Lopez V. 29. Natis W. 8. Sanchez M.
Coaches
Romo J.	Quintana I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Contreras R. ⚽,
38', Caicedo F. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Ojeda D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Caicedo F. 🟨,
68', Motau A. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
68', Quintos B. ↓, Diaz K. ↑,
78', Higuera E. 🟨,
79', Fuentes D. 🟨,
82', 1 - 2, Higuera E. ⚽,
83', Fuentes D. ↓, Chagolla B. ↑,
83', Ceja K. ↓, Munguia Haros M. ↑,
87', Sanchez M. 🟨,
90', Higuera E. ↓, Lopez V. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 3.

Tijuana has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atlético San Luis has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Atlético San Luis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tijuana is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:11. (average 2.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:5. (average 3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Tijuana Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
12.08.25	Tigres UANL - Tijuana	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Juárez - Tijuana	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Tijuana - Atlas	2:2 ✺
24.07.25	Tijuana - Toluca	1:3 ✺
20.07.25	Club America - Tijuana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- Atlético San Luis Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
12.08.25	Atlético San Luis - Atlas	0:0 ✺
08.08.25	Querétaro - Atlético San Luis	0:2 ✺
04.08.25	Atlético San Luis - Juárez	0:2 ✺
28.07.25	Cruz Azul - Atlético San Luis	0:1 ✺
21.07.25	Atlético San Luis - Monterrey	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
20.01.25	Atlético San Luis - Tijuana	2:0
13.10.24	Tijuana - Atlético San Luis	6:1
21.01.24	Tijuana - Atlético San Luis	3:2
02.10.23	Atlético San Luis - Tijuana	0:2
05.03.23	Atlético San Luis - Tijuana	0:0
17.07.22	Tijuana - Atlético San Luis	2:0
24.01.22	Tijuana - Atlético San Luis	2:2

Tijuana - Atlético San Luis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide