Match Info

Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Caliente (Tijuana)

Referee: Portillo F. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Tubi TV
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Tijuana		Toluca

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.7
	1.92	3.55	3.15
	2.2	3.7	3.01
	1.94	3.82	3.43	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.8
	1.9	3.62	3.38	Watch
	2.1	3.5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.1)	3.57 ↑ (3.5)	3.05 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tijuana
44.4%

Draw
25.6%

Toluca
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

25.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tijuana - Toluca Predictions

Users Predictions: Tijuana will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cota R. (G) 12. Ceja K. 2. Diaz K. 3. Enrigue J. (C) 24. Fong M. 11. Fuentes D. 8. Marroquin A. M. 18. Martinez N. 28. Quintos B. 20. Trevithick K. 6. Verdugo E.	33. Thompson K. (G) 16. Fernandez L. 28. Henry A. (C) 99. Le Sommer E. 13. Lopez V. 2. Martinez K. 7. Peraza C. 15. Ramirez M. 25. Robert F. 17. van de Sanden S. 6. Vazquez S.
Substitutes
30. Andonaegui M. 22. Bautista E. 34. Chagolla B. 16. Curiel A. 21. Hernandez I. 29. Jardon P. 1. Madueno A. (G) 19. Munguia Haros M. 27. Parra L. 32. Rojo N.	22. Abam M. 8. Cortez V. 10. Cuevas B. 12. Martinez V. (G) 14. Monroy D. 26. Munoz I. 21. Valadez N.
Coaches
Romo J.	Lair P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
45+4', Henry A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Verdugo E. ↓, Curiel A. ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
58', Robert F. ↓, Cortez V. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Fuentes D. ⚽,
63', Trevithick K. ↓, Chagolla B. ↑,
63', Fuentes D. ↓, Rojo N. ↑,
64', Peraza C. ↓, Cuevas B. ↑,
73', Martinez N. 🟨,
75', Le Sommer E. ↓, Abam M. ↑,
78', Marroquin A. M. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
78', Ceja K. ↓, Andonaegui M. ↑,
79', Lopez V. 🟨,
84', Abam M. 🟨,
87', Hernandez I. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 3, Cuevas B. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 4.

Tijuana will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Tijuana Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
20.07.25	Club America - Tijuana	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Club León - Tijuana	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Tijuana - Atlas	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Club America - Tijuana	4:1 ✺
24.03.25	Tijuana - Pachuca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTLLT
- Deportivo Toluca Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
19.07.25	Toluca - Santos Laguna	1:0 ✺
13.07.25	Tigres UANL - Toluca	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Toluca - Club America	4:3 ✺
13.04.25	Puebla - Toluca	1:3 ✺
30.03.25	Toluca - Monterrey	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
17.01.25	Tijuana - Toluca	3:1
06.08.24	Toluca - Tijuana	2:4
29.04.24	Toluca - Tijuana	2:1
20.08.23	Tijuana - Toluca	3:0
09.01.23	Toluca - Tijuana	0:1
30.09.22	Tijuana - Toluca	1:0
17.01.22	Toluca - Tijuana	3:3

Tijuana - Toluca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide