Match Info

NORTH MACEDONIA: 1. MFL - Round 24

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Gradski Stadion Kavadarci (Kavadarci)


	Tikveš		Gostivar

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.75	2.55
	3.05	2.8	2.48	Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.6
	3.07	2.7	2.48
	2.9	2.75	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3.62)	2.76 ↓ (2.99)	2.53 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tikveš
31%

Draw
33%

Gostivar
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

30.4%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

29.8%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tikveš has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tikveš's performance.

Gostivar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gostivar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tikveš than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tikveš that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gostivar than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gostivar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tikveš - Gostivar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dimovski S. (G) 6. Cubara A. 77. Milovanovikj D. 15. Mishov A. 5. Mojsov D. 20. Najdovski N. 9. Sadik B. 88. Spirkoski B. 8. Tasev D. 21. Varelovski A. (C) 10. Vosha A.	91. Abazi B. (G) 6. Ajdini R. 22. Diatta A. 9. Erwin L. 33. Glisic D. 99. Kalanoski A. 5. Kirovski A. (C) 21. Mbende E. 16. Murati M. 27. Rifadov A. 24. Trajcevski D.
Substitutes
3. Jakovljevic A. 1. Kupanov F. (G) 18. Manasievski D. 33. Mihaljevic F. 11. Petrovic M. 22. Rajchinovski R. 7. Stojanov M. 24. Stojkoski K.	23. Aosman A. 8. Aydogan O. 77. Dervishi E. 11. Elmas M. 30. Gjorgjievski K. 15. Hamzikj M. 10. Ivanovski I. 7. Jusufi N. 17. Simonovski M. 1. Vasilev V. (G) 4. Zuka F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Sadik B. (Pen),
20', Erwin L. 🟨,
24', Diatta A. 🟨,
27', Najdovski N. 🟨,
29', Spirkoski B. 🟨,
35', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Murati M. ↓, Aydogan O. ↑,
46', Erwin L. ↓, Simonovski M. ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Varelovski A. ⚽,
59', Aosman A. 🟨,
62', Dimovski S. 🟨,
64', Tasev D. ↓, Petrovic M. ↑,
64', Milovanovikj D. ↓, Stojkoski K. ↑,
79', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
85', Spirkoski B. ↓, Manasievski D. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Kalanoski A. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tikveš won 0.

Tikveš is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gostivar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gostivar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Tikveš won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:13 (average 1.1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Tikveš won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GFK Tikveš
North Macedonian 1 MFL
10.03.25	Rabotnički - Tikveš	1:0 ✺
05.03.25	Tikveš - Shkupi	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Tikveš	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Tikveš - Pelister	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Sileks - Tikveš	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLLT
- Gostivar
North Macedonian 1 MFL
09.03.25	Gostivar - AP Brera Strumica	2:2 ✺
05.03.25	AP Brera Strumica - Gostivar	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Gostivar - Rabotnički	0:0 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
26.02.25	Struga - Gostivar	1:0 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
23.02.25	Besa Dobërdoll - Gostivar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
24.11.24	Gostivar - Tikveš	1:0
31.08.24	Tikveš - Gostivar	0:0
Club Friendly
04.08.24	Gostivar - Tikveš	2:1
North Macedonian 1 MFL
13.04.24	Gostivar - Tikveš	2:1
04.11.23	Tikveš - Gostivar	2:2
13.08.23	Gostivar - Tikveš	0:3
North Macedonian Cup
23.09.20	Gostivar - Tikveš	5:0

Tikveš - Gostivar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide