Match Info

Division 3 - Group 2 - Round 25

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Tiller		Surnadal IL

	1	X	2
	2.41	4.57	2.12
	2.16	4.49	2.46	Watch
	2.13	4.25	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.16)	4.44 ↓ (4.49)	2.35 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiller
40.8%

Draw
20.5%

Surnadal IL
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

20.4%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

19.4%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Surnadal IL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiller than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surnadal IL than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Tiller - Surnadal IL Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
80', 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Tiller is Relegated to

Surnadal is Relegated to

Tiller is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Surnadal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tiller won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Tiller won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiller IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
11.10.25	Kvik - Tiller	4:0 ✺
06.10.25	Tiller - Rosenborg II	2:5 ✺
27.09.25	Trygg Lade - Tiller	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Tiller - Volda	2:3 ✺
14.09.25	Molde 2 - Tiller	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Surnadal IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
11.10.25	Surnadal IL - Kristiansund 2	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Melhus - Surnadal IL	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Surnadal IL - Nardo	4:1 ✺
20.09.25	Byåsen - Surnadal IL	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Volda - Surnadal IL	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.6 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
27.10.24	Surnadal IL - Tiller	2:0
04.05.24	Tiller - Surnadal IL	4:1

Tiller - Surnadal IL: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide