Match Info

Date: 25 August 2020, Tuesday


	Tirana		Crvena Zvezda Belgrade

	1	X	2
	13	5.5	1.22	Watch
	12.5	5	1.26
	15	5.8	1.22	Watch
	12	5	1.24
	13.67	4.84	1.28
	15	5	1.17	Watch
	13.25	5.7	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.49 ↑ (5.8)	5.26 ↑ (3.8)	1.23 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tirana
6.9%

Draw
17.6%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
75.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

25.9%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

14.4%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tirana's form might have worsened.

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crvena Zvezda Belgrade's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tirana than the current prediction. (+23.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tirana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-43.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	0.8%	94.4%

Tirana - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Predictions

Users Predictions: Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (117 of 124 users predict this - 94.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.29% – 98.41%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Tirana is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Crvena Zvezda in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Crvena Zvezda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Crvena Zvezda is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Tirana
UEFA Champions League
19.08.20	Dinamo Tbilisi - Tirana	0:2 ✺
Albanian Cup
02.08.20	Teuta Durrës - Tirana	2:0 ✺
Albanian Super League
24.07.20	Laçi - Tirana	3:1 ✺
18.07.20	Tirana - Flamurtari Vlorë	2:0 ✺
Albanian Cup
15.07.20	Tirana - Bylis Ballsh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLWW
- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
21.08.20	Proleter Novi Sad - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.08.20	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Europa	5:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
14.08.20	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Spartak Subotica	3:2 ✺
09.08.20	Mačva Šabac - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:3 ✺
05.08.20	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Radnički Niš	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW

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