Match Info

Abissnet Superiore - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Arena Kombetare (Tirana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Klani IM, RTSH Sport
World	FIFA+


	Tirana		Egnatia Rrogozhinë

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.15	1.8	Watch
	4.1	3.2	1.86
	3.97	3.23	1.9	Watch
	4.4	2.9	1.83
	4.44	3.15	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (3.47)	3.13 ↓ (3.18)	1.85 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tirana
21.5%

Draw
29.2%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

28.9%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

28.8%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Egnatia Rrogozhinë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tirana than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egnatia Rrogozhinë than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Tirana - Egnatia Rrogozhinë Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Bekaj V. (G) 10. Alvarez F. 15. Halili D. 96. Kobiljar R. 47. Kresic A. 7. Myslovic P. 3. Ndong B. 8. Rafa Freitas 30. Tabekou S. 2. Vera L. 19. Xhixha R.	98. Dajsinani M. (G) 10. Albanese A. 6. Aleksi A. 4. Aliyev Z. 29. Buric N. 7. Fernando Medeiros 22. Jaime G. 23. Kryeziu A. 17. Selmani K. 28. Sota E. 19. Xhemajli A.
Substitutes
91. Babe A. (G) 4. Cortes J. 24. Falaye O. A. 14. Haxhiu R. 13. Karabeci E. 12. Kuka K. (G) 18. Marku H. 99. Mehmeti D. 33. Meta E. 21. Vogli S.	2. Adjessa D. 9. Bakayoko S. . De Oliveira A. 44. Fangaj A. 77. Gruda I. . Jefferson 5. Poci A. 88. Ruci F. 1. Tandilashvili L. (G) 18. Yahaya M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Tabekou S. ⚽,
34', Buric N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kobiljar R. ↓, Haxhiu R. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Buric N. ⚽,
63', Aleksi A. 🟨,
63', 2 - 1, Xhixha R. ⚽,
68', Kryeziu A. ↓, Bakayoko S. ↑,
68', Selmani K. ↓, De Oliveira A. ↑,
68', Albanese A. ↓, Adjessa D. ↑,
69', 3 - 1, Halili D. ⚽,
71', Halili D. 🟨,
77', Bekaj V. 🟨,
79', Jaime G. ↓, Gruda I. ↑,
80', Tabekou S. ↓, Falaye O. A. ↑,
84', Xhixha R. ↓, Mehmeti D. ↑,
85', Buric N. ↓, Ruci F. ↑,
90', Ruci F. 🟨,
90', Ndong B. ↓, marku ↑,
90+6', Aliyev Z. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tirana won 1.

Tirana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Egnatia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tirana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Egnatia has had a series of home games.

Egnatia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tirana won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:18. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Tirana won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Egnatia	5	4	0	1	11:5	6	12
6	KF Tirana	5	1	2	2	8:9	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Tirana - the odds 3.47 are the expected chance of winning is 26.49%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Tirana
Albanian Super League
03.04.26	Flamurtari Vlorë - Tirana	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Tirana - Vora	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Tirana - Bylis Ballsh	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Tirana - AF Elbasani	0:1 ✺
Albanian Cup
04.03.26	Dinamo City - Tirana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWLL
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Albanian Cup
08.04.26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - AF Elbasani	1:1 ✺
Albanian Super League
04.04.26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Bylis Ballsh	3:0 ✺
20.03.26	AF Elbasani - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Vllaznia Shkodër	0:0 ✺
09.03.26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Teuta Durrës	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Albanian Super League
01.02.26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Tirana	0:1
29.11.25	Tirana - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0:1
20.09.25	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Tirana	2:0
15.03.25	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Tirana	1:1
18.01.25	Tirana - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0:4
03.11.24	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Tirana	1:0
01.09.24	Tirana - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1:1

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