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Current Win Probability
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 43.6%
Draw 31.3%
AF Elbasani 25.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.4%
30.9%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
31%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Egnatia Rrogozhinë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Egnatia Rrogozhinë's performance.
AF Elbasani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AF Elbasani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egnatia Rrogozhinë than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Egnatia Rrogozhinë that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AF Elbasani than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AF Elbasani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë - AF Elbasani Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tandilashvili L. (G) 2. Adjessa D. 10. Albanese A. 4. Aliyev Z. 44. Fangaj A. 7. Fernando Medeiros 77. Gruda I. 23. Kryeziu A. 88. Ruci F. 28. Sota E. 19. Xhemajli A.
1. Totoshi K. (G) 70. Boye I. 17. Ibrahim A. 18. Kasa A. 14. Lajthia X. 77. Lila B. 10. Loukili K. 20. Manellari I. 29. Musta E. 2. Olberkis S. 23. Ze Gomes
Substitutes
9. Bakayoko S. 29. Buric N. 98. Dajsinani M. (G) 22. Jaime G. 34. Januzi M. 27. Jefferson 5. Poci A. 11. Rodrigues A. 17. Selmani K. 18. Yahaya M.
25. Azemovic E. 9. Blaise Tsague 27. Bunjaku F. 99. Delaj A. 79. Diallo I. 12. Gega R. (G) 11. Kasa K. 22. Lleshi A. 7. Nongoh S. 42. Qose K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Sota E. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Ze Gomes ⚽,
45+7', Musta E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Gruda I. ↓, Selmani K. ↑,
64', Adjessa D. ↓, Buric N. ↑,
73', Ze Gomes ↓, Blaise Tsague ↑,
74', Boye I. ↓, Diallo I. ↑,
78', Albanese A. ↓, Jefferson ↑,
78', Fangaj A. ↓, Jaime G. ↑,
78', Ruci F. ↓, Bakayoko S. ↑,
90+3', Lajthia X. ↓, Kasa K. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Egnatia won 1.
Egnatia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
AF Elbasani's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
AF Elbasani may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Egnatia has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Egnatia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Egnatia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Egnatia Rrogozhinë - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 38.42%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.