Match Info

Serie D - Round 7

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Tirol		Fluminense Piaui

	1	X	2
	2.48	2.98	2.68
	2.57	3.02	2.69
	2.61	2.92	2.76	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.7
	2.5	2.98	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.49)	2.94 ↓ (2.99)	2.7 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tirol
35.7%

Draw
30.8%

Fluminense Piaui
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

30%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

31.6%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Fluminense Piaui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tirol than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense Piaui than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Tirol - Fluminense Piaui Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Junior Timbo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 1, Vinicius Alves ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tirol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Centro de Formação de Atletas do Tirol
Brazilian Serie D
09.05.26	Tirol - Altos	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Altos - Tirol	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Fluminense Piaui - Tirol	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Tirol - Atlético Cearense	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Tirol	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLTTL
- Fluminense Piaui
Brazilian Serie D
10.05.26	Fluminense Piaui - Atlético Cearense	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Atlético Cearense - Fluminense Piaui	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.04.26	Botafogo PB - Fluminense Piaui	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Fluminense Piaui - Tirol	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Fluminense Piaui - Piauí	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Fluminense Piaui - Tirol	0:0

Tirol - Fluminense Piaui: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide