Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Round 5

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao) (Joao Pessoa)


	Botafogo PB		Fluminense Piaui

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	6	Watch
	1.33	4.45	7.7	Watch
	1.36	4.45	9.1
	1.36	4.13	9.99	Watch
	1.33	4	9
	1.32	4.2	9.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.4)	4.37 ↑ (4.1)	8.54 ↑ (7.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
68.4%

Draw
20.9%

Fluminense Piaui
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

22.3%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

21.3%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Fluminense Piaui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo PB that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense Piaui than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Botafogo PB - Fluminense Piaui Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Max Walef (G) 77. Bastos R. 16. Bull 22. Dudu Nardini 11. Felipe Azevedo 8. Igor Maduro 5. Jhonata Varela 33. Julio Vaz 17. Lucas Sena 10. Nene (C) 4. Saimon	1. Jerfesson (G) 11. Adson 3. Deivid 5. Durkheim 7. Gabriel Henrique 2. Gabriel Para 4. Rafhael 10. Raimundinho 6. Rhuan Wallace 9. Tilico 8. Xexeu (C)
Substitutes
29. Anderson Chaves 25. Caio Garcia 2. Diogo Mateus 7. Dudu Hatamoto 88. Gabriel Tota 18. Giovanni 31. Gustavo 9. Henrique Dourado . Leandro Mathias (G) 35. Octavio 28. Romario 20. Thallyson	12. Arthur Gazze (G) 17. Fatel 14. Gabriel Biloca 23. Henry P. 19. Joao Vitor 20. Junior Timbo 16. Kelson F. 22. Kelvin 13. Ray 21. Reny Max 18. Rian Renne 15. Vitinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Xexeu 🟨,
25', Rhuan Wallace 🟨,
41', Igor Maduro 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Dudu Nardini ↓, Henrique Dourado ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Tilico ⚽,
59', Igor Maduro ↓, Thallyson ↑,
60', Lucas Sena ↓, Giovanni ↑,
65', Tilico ↓, Henry P. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Henrique Dourado ⚽,
70', Giovanni 🟨,
71', Xexeu ↓, Rian Renne ↑,
71', Adson ↓, Fatel ↑,
74', Nene ↓, Dudu Hatamoto ↑,
76', Gabriel Henrique ↓, Vitinho ↑,
76', Rafhael ↓, Gabriel Biloca ↑,
78', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Gabriel Tota ↑,
80', Gabriel Tota 🟨,
90+5', Dudu Hatamoto 🟨,

Preview

Botafogo PB is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fluminense PI is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Botafogo PB may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Botafogo PB has had a series of away games.

Recently, Fluminense PI has had a series of home games.

In this match, Botafogo PB is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
25.04.26	Botafogo PB - Floresta	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.04.26	Itabaiana - Botafogo PB	3:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
19.04.26	Figueirense - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Ferroviária - Botafogo PB	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.04.26	Sousa - Botafogo PB	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLWL
- Fluminense Piaui
Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Fluminense Piaui - Tirol	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Fluminense Piaui - Piauí	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.04.26	Fluminense Piaui - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
12.04.26	Altos - Fluminense Piaui	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.04.26	Fluminense Piaui - Piauí	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWTWW

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