Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 12

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo (Santo Tirso)


	Tirsense		Limianos

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.05	3.9
	1.86	3.09	3.86
	1.9	3.21	3.92	Watch
	1.91	3	3.8
	1.89	3.22	3.82
	1.84	3.14	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.07)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	3.88 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tirsense
47.9%

Draw
28.9%

Limianos
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28.4%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

29.5%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirsense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Limianos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Limianos than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Tirsense - Limianos Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tirsense (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Limianos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tirsense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tirsense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tirsense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Tirsense - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 43.86%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
07.12.25	Desportivo Monção - Tirsense	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Tirsense - Mirandela	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Ribeira Brava - Tirsense	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Tirsense - Celoricense	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vilaverdense - Tirsense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWTTL
- AD Limianos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
07.12.25	Limianos - Chaves B	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Limianos - Bragança	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Ribeira Brava - Limianos	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Desportivo Monção - Limianos	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Limianos - Mirandela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
29.03.25	Limianos - Tirsense	2:2
08.12.24	Tirsense - Limianos	0:0
17.03.24	Limianos - Tirsense	0:3
03.12.23	Tirsense - Limianos	0:1

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