Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 15

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Vitoria Guimarães B		Tirsense

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.3	4.2
	1.71	3.45	4.5
	1.71	3.4	4.57
	1.71	3.45	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.32)	3.4 ↓ (4.7)	4.44 ↓ (7.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria Guimarães B
53%

Draw
26.6%

Tirsense
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

19.3%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

18.1%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitoria Guimarães B's form might have worsened.

Tirsense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tirsense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (+20.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitoria Guimarães B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tirsense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Vitoria Guimarães B - Tirsense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guimarães B will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tirsense will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Yuk J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 2 - 0, Nogueira M. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, Tulio ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
12.01.25	Pevidem - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:2 ✺
05.01.25	Vianense - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:2 ✺
15.12.24	Vitoria Guimarães B - Vila Real	3:0 ✺
08.12.24	Joane - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Vitoria Guimarães B - Bragança	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWW
- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
12.01.25	Tirsense - Rebordosa	3:3 ✺
05.01.25	Tirsense - Os Sandinenses	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.12.24	Tirsense - Rebordosa	1:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
15.12.24	Paredes - Tirsense	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Tirsense - Limianos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
25.08.24	Tirsense - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.02.21	Tirsense - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:2
28.11.20	Vitoria Guimarães B - Tirsense	2:1

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