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Current Win Probability
Tivoli Gardens 50.8%
Draw 25.7%
Dunbeholden 23.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.4%
25.8%
23.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.8%
24.6%
22.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tivoli Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Dunbeholden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunbeholden than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Tivoli Gardens - Dunbeholden Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, Pennycooke O. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
90+4', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Premier League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 4.
Tivoli Gardens has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Dunbeholden is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bookmakers give the edge to Tivoli Gardens for this game.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Tivoli Gardens has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:20 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tivoli Gardens against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 9:5 goals (averaging 1.1:0.6 per game).
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