Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Edward Seaga Sports Complex (Kingston)


	Tivoli Gardens		Chapelton Maroons

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	3.10	2.90
	2.07	3.15	3.15	Watch
	2.23	3.33	3.03
	2.27	3.39	2.99	Watch
	2.18	3.25	2.90
	2.26	3.36	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.03)	3.26 ↓ (3.52)	3 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tivoli Gardens
41.5%

Draw
28%

Chapelton Maroons
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

26.4%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tivoli Gardens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Chapelton Maroons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Tivoli Gardens - Chapelton Maroons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Williams L. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Brown B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 1.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tivoli Gardens holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Tivoli Gardens has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:10 (averaging 1.5:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tivoli Gardens against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:2 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tivoli	4	2	2	0	7:2	5	8
10	Chapelton	4	1	1	2	3:10	-7	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tivoli Gardens FC
Jamaica National Premier League
20.09.26	Treasure Beach - Tivoli Gardens	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Tivoli Gardens - Humble Lions	3:0 ✺
06.05.26	Portmore United - Tivoli Gardens	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Tivoli Gardens - Cavalier	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Treasure Beach - Tivoli Gardens	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TWLLL
- Chapelton Maroons
Jamaica National Premier League
20.09.26	Chapelton Maroons - Molynes United	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Montego Bay United - Chapelton Maroons	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Waterhouse - Chapelton Maroons	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Chapelton Maroons - Spanish Town Police	6:2 ✺
23.04.26	Mount Pleasant - Chapelton Maroons	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
25.03.26	Tivoli Gardens - Chapelton Maroons	0:1
29.12.25	Tivoli Gardens - Chapelton Maroons	2:0
24.08.25	Chapelton Maroons - Tivoli Gardens	2:1
27.04.25	Chapelton Maroons - Tivoli Gardens	2:2
12.02.25	Tivoli Gardens - Chapelton Maroons	1:1
01.12.24	Chapelton Maroons - Tivoli Gardens	2:3
20.02.23	Chapelton Maroons - Tivoli Gardens	2:0

Tivoli Gardens - Chapelton Maroons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide