Match Info

Date: 8 January 2022, Saturday


	Tlemcen		USM Alger

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.1	1.88
	4.25	3.15	1.8
	3.85	3	1.93
	4.45	3.16	1.91
	4	3	1.95
	4.05	3.18	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.68)	3.1 ↓ (3.15)	1.9 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tlemcen
22.4%

Draw
29.4%

USM Alger
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

29.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

22.6%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tlemcen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlemcen than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that USM Alger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tlemcen - USM Alger Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 9).

Tlemcen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches USM Alger is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match USM Alger is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tlemcen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Tlemcen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- WA Tlemcen
Algerian Ligue 1
03.01.22	Biskra - Tlemcen	0:0 ✺
28.12.21	Tlemcen - Saoura	2:3 ✺
24.12.21	Arbaâ - Tlemcen	0:0 ✺
18.12.21	Tlemcen - Hussein Dey	2:2 ✺
11.12.21	ES Sétif - Tlemcen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLTTL
- USM Alger
Algerian Ligue 1
03.01.22	USM Alger - Magra	4:1 ✺
28.12.21	Belouizdad - USM Alger	1:0 ✺
24.12.21	USM Alger - Oran	0:0 ✺
17.12.21	ASO Chlef - USM Alger	2:1 ✺
04.12.21	Chelghoum - USM Alger	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
22.05.21	USM Alger - Tlemcen	1:0
12.12.20	Tlemcen - USM Alger	0:0
22.03.13	Tlemcen - USM Alger	0:1

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