Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 10

Date: 24 June 2023, Saturday


	Tocantinópolis		Caucaia

	1	X	2
	1.94	3.09	3.66
	2.04	3.1	3.65
	1.95	3.3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.01)	3.16 ↑ (3.03)	3.6 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tocantinópolis
46%

Draw
28.8%

Caucaia
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

29.8%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

29.4%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tocantinópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

The chances for Caucaia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caucaia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Caucaia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tocantinópolis will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tocantinópolis won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tocantinópolis EC
Brazilian Serie D
17.06.23	Tocantinópolis - Fluminense Piaui	1:1 ✺
14.06.23	Cordino - Tocantinópolis	0:1 ✺
11.06.23	Tocantinópolis - Cordino	2:0 ✺
07.06.23	Fluminense Piaui - Tocantinópolis	1:0 ✺
04.06.23	Caucaia - Tocantinópolis	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWWLT
- Caucaia EC
Brazilian Serie D
17.06.23	Maranhão - Caucaia	1:0 ✺
14.06.23	Caucaia - Parnahyba	2:0 ✺
08.06.23	Caucaia - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
04.06.23	Caucaia - Tocantinópolis	3:3 ✺
28.05.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Caucaia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
04.06.23	Caucaia - Tocantinópolis	3:3

Tocantinópolis - Caucaia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide