Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 9

Date: 17 June 2023, Saturday


	Maranhão		Caucaia

	1	X	2
	1.37	4	7.5
	1.37	4.01	7.5
	1.37	4.4	7.8
	1.38	4.2	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (2.13)	4.15 ↓ (5.5)	7.58 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maranhão
66.2%

Draw
21.9%

Caucaia
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

16.2%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

15.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maranhão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maranhão's performance.

Caucaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caucaia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (-22.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maranhão that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caucaia than the current prediction. (+28.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caucaia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maranhão - Caucaia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Caucaia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Caucaia have a series of home games.

In this match Maranhão is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Maranhão won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Maranhão	3:1 ✺
11.06.23	Maranhão - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
08.06.23	Caucaia - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
03.06.23	Maranhão - Fluminense Piaui	2:0 ✺
27.05.23	Maranhão - Parnahyba	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTTWW
- Caucaia EC
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	Caucaia - Parnahyba	2:0 ✺
08.06.23	Caucaia - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
04.06.23	Caucaia - Tocantinópolis	3:3 ✺
28.05.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Caucaia	1:0 ✺
21.05.23	Caucaia - Atlético Cearense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
08.06.23	Caucaia - Maranhão	0:0

Maranhão - Caucaia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide