Match Info

Date: 28 August 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Tocantinópolis		Paragominas

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.9	1.57
	5.1	3.8	1.52
	4.9	4.1	1.47
	3.98	4.06	1.63
	5.5	4.5	1.4
	6.2	3.92	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.03 ↓ (5.12)	4.05 ↑ (3.7)	1.51 (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tocantinópolis
18%

Draw
22.3%

Paragominas
59.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.3%

24%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.7%

16.2%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tocantinópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Paragominas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tocantinópolis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paragominas than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paragominas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Tocantinópolis has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Paragominas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Paragominas is a favorite.

Recent matches Paragominas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tocantinópolis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tocantinópolis EC
Brazilian Serie D
21.08.21	Tocantinópolis - 4 de Julho	0:2 ✺
14.08.21	Guarany de Sobral - Tocantinópolis	2:1 ✺
07.08.21	Palmas - Tocantinópolis	2:1 ✺
31.07.21	Tocantinópolis - SE Juventude	0:1 ✺
24.07.21	Imperatriz de Desportos - Tocantinópolis	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Paragominas FC
Brazilian Serie D
21.08.21	Paragominas - Imperatriz de Desportos	4:1 ✺
14.08.21	Moto Club de São Luís - Paragominas	1:4 ✺
08.08.21	Paragominas - SE Juventude	0:0 ✺
01.08.21	Paragominas - Palmas	1:1 ✺
24.07.21	4 de Julho - Paragominas	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
13.06.21	Paragominas - Tocantinópolis	4:1

Tocantinópolis - Paragominas

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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