The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tocantinópolis 38%
Draw 31.1%
Tuna Luso Brasileira 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.9%
30.4%
37.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
29.5%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tocantinópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tocantinópolis's performance.
Tuna Luso Brasileira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tuna Luso Brasileira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tocantinópolis that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuna Luso Brasileira than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tuna Luso Brasileira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tocantinópolis - Tuna Luso Brasileira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, Lua Niger (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', 1 - 1, Renan ⚽,
Preview
Tocantinópolis is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Tuna Luso has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Tocantinópolis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tocantinópolis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 2.3:3.3).
Including home match between the teams, Tocantinópolis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Watch
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