Match Info

Serie D - Round 1

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday


	Oratório		Tocantinópolis

	1	X	2
	2.58	3	2.58
	2.58	3.2	2.69
	2.61	3.06	2.65	Watch
	2.6	2.8	2.6
	2.55	2.94	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.55)	3 ↓ (3.2)	2.63 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oratório
35.2%

Draw
30.3%

Tocantinópolis
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28.5%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

27.7%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oratório has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Tocantinópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oratório than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Oratório - Tocantinópolis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 🟥,
45+2', 1 - 0, Taperacu ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 2 - 0, Dayveson ⚽,
77', 3 - 0, Dayveson ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Tocantinópolis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tocantinópolis has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oratório RC
Brazilian Serie D
19.04.26	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Oratório	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Imperatriz de Desportos - Oratório	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amapaense
24.03.26	Oratório - Santos AP	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Santos AP - Oratório	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Oratório - Cristal AP	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLTW
- Tocantinópolis EC
Brazilian Serie D
19.04.26	Tocantinópolis - Trem	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
16.04.26	Tocantinópolis - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
11.04.26	Tocantinópolis - Águia de Marabá	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
08.04.26	Tocantinópolis - Gama	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Tocantinense
02.04.26	União Carmolandense - Tocantinópolis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTLT

Oratório - Tocantinópolis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide