Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de Kégué (Lomé)

Referee: Delgado Rocha L. (Cpv)

Where to Watch on TV:


Dr-congo	RTNC
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
India	FanCode, FanCode
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Slovenia	Sportklub
Togo	TVT
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	Togo		D.R. Congo

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.3	1.85	Watch
	4.25	3.45	1.78
	4.24	3.49	1.84
	3.22	3.31	2.12	Watch
	5.11	3.38	1.86	Watch
	3.6	3.2	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↑ (3.5)	3.36 ↑ (2.9)	1.91 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Togo
22.5%

Draw
28.1%

D.R. Congo
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

32.1%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Togo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

D.R. Congo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting D.R. Congo's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Togo - D.R. Congo Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Togo will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). D.R. Congo will win (votes: 20 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for D.R. Congo: 68.4% – 98.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): D.R. Congo will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mensah S. (G) VfB Oldenburg 2. Boma K. Estoril 8. Bode A. ASKO Kara 21. Djene (C) Getafe 14. Aholou R. 15. Romao J. 20. Fofana S. Grazer AK 7. Agbagno Y. Al-Ittihad 18. Klidje T. Hibernian 12. Yenoussi G. Bourges 18 10. Denkey K. FC Cincinnati	1. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) Le Havre 2. Wan-Bissaka A. West Ham 4. Tuanzebe A. Burnley 14. Masuaku A. Sunderland 15. Bushiri R. Hibernian 8. Moutoussamy S. Atromitos 18. Pickel C. Espanyol 22. Mbemba Ch. (C) Lille 7. Mbuku N. Montpellier 17. Bakambu C. Betis 19. Mayele F. Pyramids
Substitutes
3. Amevor M. FC Volendam 5. Boateng K. Din. Bucuresti 19. Henen D. Da Nang 9. Laba K. Al Ain 13. Monglo I. Barracuda 11. Ouro-Agoro I. El Gaish 17. Ouro-Ayeva A. ASC Kara 6. Ouro S. Dun. Streda 16. Sambaou A. 23. Tondoro C. (G)	16. Bertaud D. (G) 10. Bongonda T. Spartak Moscow 20. Cipenga B. Castellon 13. Elia M. Alanyaspor 9. Essende S. Augsburg 21. Fayulu T. (G) Noah 5. Kalulu G. Aris Limassol 3. Kapuadi S. Legia 11. Kayembe E. Watford 12. Kayembe J. Genk 6. Mukau N. Lille 23. Muleka J. Konyaspor
Coaches
Nibombe D.	Desabre S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Bakambu C. ⚽, Mayele F. (A),
33', Pickel C. ↓, Kalulu G. ↑,
34', Mayele F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Romao J. ↓, Boateng K. ↑,
46', Mayele F. ↓, Elia M. ↑,
63', Bakambu C. 🟨,
64', Bakambu C. ↓, Muleka J. ↑,
64', Mbuku N. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
64', Yenoussi G. ↓, Annor Y. ↑,
78', Agbagno Y. ↓, Laba K. ↑,
78', Romao J. ↓, Ouro S. ↑,
82', Djene ↓, Amevor M. ↑,
84', Wan-Bissaka A. ↓, Kayembe E. ↑,

Preview

D.R. Congo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Togo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Togo
FIFA World Cup
09.09.25	Togo - Sudan	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Mauritania - Togo	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Senegal - Togo	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Togo - Mauritania	2:2 ✺
African Nations Championship
22.12.24	Togo - Niger	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLTT
- D.R. Congo
FIFA World Cup
09.09.25	D.R. Congo - Senegal	2:3 ✺
05.09.25	South Sudan - D.R. Congo	1:4 ✺
African Nations Championship
17.08.25	D.R. Congo - Morocco	1:3 ✺
14.08.25	Angola - D.R. Congo	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	D.R. Congo - Zambia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
09.06.24	D.R. Congo - Togo	1:0
Africa Cup of Nations
24.01.17	Togo - D.R. Congo	1:3
FIFA World Cup
08.09.13	Togo - D.R. Congo	2:1
10.06.12	D.R. Congo - Togo	N/A

Togo - D.R. Congo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide