Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Round 8

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stade des Martyrs (Kinshasa)

Referee: Cartan C. (Som)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 7
Dr-congo	RTNC
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
India	FanCode, FanCode
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Senegal	RTS 1, RTS 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 4, Arena Sport 1, SportKlub 7
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	D.R. Congo		Senegal

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.38	Watch
	3.5	3	2.15
	3.35	2.62	2.48
	3.57	2.85	2.41
	3.57	2.81	2.31	Watch
	3.4	3.06	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (4.17)	2.89 ↓ (3.5)	2.34 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

D.R. Congo
27.3%

Draw
32.5%

Senegal
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

27.3%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

27.2%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

D.R. Congo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Senegal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Senegal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for D.R. Congo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Senegal than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Senegal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	36.8%	42.1%

D.R. Congo - Senegal Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. D.R. Congo will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Senegal will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Senegal: 19.9% – 64.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. D.R. Congo (votes: 1 - 10%). Senegal (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - D.R. Congo (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. D.R. Congo (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Senegal (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Bertaud D. (G) 17. Bakambu C. Betis 5. Batubinsika D. St Etienne 13. Elia M. Young Boys 4. Kayembe E. Watford 14. Masuaku A. Sunderland 22. Mbemba Ch. (C) Lille 8. Moutoussamy S. Sivasspor 11. Sadiki N. Sunderland 2. Wan-Bissaka A. West Ham 20. Wissa Y. Newcastle Utd	16. Mendy E. (G) Al Ahli SC 8. Camara L. Monaco 15. Diatta K. Monaco 2. Diouf M. West Ham 5. Gueye I. Everton 21. Gueye P. Villarreal 11. Jackson N. Bayern Munich 3. Koulibaly K. (C) Al Hilal 10. Mane S. Al Nassr 13. Ndiaye I. Everton 4. Seck A. Maccabi Haifa
Substitutes
10. Bongonda T. Spartak Moscow 15. Bushiri R. Hibernian 9. Essende S. Augsburg 21. Fayulu T. (G) Noah 23. Kalulu G. Aris Limassol 3. Kapuadi S. Legia 12. Kayembe J. Genk 19. Mayele F. Pyramids 7. Mbuku N. Montpellier 1. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) Le Havre 18. Pickel C. Espanyol 6. Tshibola A. Levadiakos	6. Ciss P. Rayo Vallecano 9. Dia B. Lazio 7. Diarra H. Sunderland 23. Diaw M. (G) Le Havre 1. Diouf Y. (G) Nice 14. Jakobs I. Galatasaray 22. Mbow M. Paris FC 20. Mendy A. Nice 12. Ndiaye C. Crvena zvezda 36. Niasse C. Verona 18. Sabaly C. Metz 17. Sarr P. M. Tottenham
Coaches
Desabre S.	Thiaw P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Bakambu C. ⚽, Sadiki N. (A),
33', 2 - 0, Wissa Y. ⚽, Bakambu C. (A),
39', 2 - 1, Gueye P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 2 - 2, Jackson N. ⚽,
58', Gueye P. 🟨,
64', Camara L. ↓, Diarra H. ↑,
67', Elia M. ↓, Mbuku N. ↑,
74', Wissa Y. ↓, Kayembe J. ↑,
75', Sadiki N. ↓, Pickel C. ↑,
77', Gueye P. ↓, Sarr P. M. ↑,
77', Jackson N. ↓, Ndiaye C. ↑,
80', Bakambu C. ↓, Mayele F. ↑,
85', Mane S. ↓, Sabaly C. ↑,
87', 2 - 3, Sarr P. M. ⚽, Sabaly C. (A),
89', Diarra H. 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by D.R. Congo have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Senegal is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Senegal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Senegal might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, D.R. Congo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- D.R. Congo
FIFA World Cup
05.09.25	South Sudan - D.R. Congo	1:4 ✺
African Nations Championship
17.08.25	D.R. Congo - Morocco	1:3 ✺
14.08.25	Angola - D.R. Congo	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	D.R. Congo - Zambia	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Kenya - D.R. Congo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWL
- Senegal
FIFA World Cup
05.09.25	Senegal - Sudan	2:0 ✺
African Nations Championship
29.08.25	Sudan - Senegal	1:2 penalties ✺
26.08.25	Morocco - Senegal	2:1 penalties ✺
23.08.25	Uganda - Senegal	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	Sudan - Senegal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
06.06.24	Senegal - D.R. Congo	1:1
African Nations Championship
22.01.23	Senegal - D.R. Congo	3:0

D.R. Congo - Senegal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide