The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tokushima Vortis 66.7%
Draw 20.8%
Kamatamare Sanuki 12.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.2%
19.8%
12%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.4%
18.9%
11.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Kamatamare Sanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (-1%)
Tokushima Vortis - Kamatamare Sanuki Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nagaishi T. (G) 20. Matsuda K. 3. Yamada N. 44. Yamaguchi T. 8. Iwao K. 22. Yanagisawa K. 7. Kodama S. 19. Miyazaki J. 42. Takagi Y. 11. Lucas Barcelos 9. Thonny Anderson
1. Imamura Y. (G) 29. Tao K. 30. Oka H. 6. Miyazaki S. 5. Kokubun M. 14. Ishikura J. 66. Woo S. 24. Ueno A. 90. Goto Y. 86. Asada H. 22. Ono Y.
Substitutes
27. Izuchukwu L. 4. Kaique 14. Kajiya Y. 6. Kanuma N. 29. Mitsui D. (G) 97. Moyo M. 10. Sugimoto T. 24. Takada S. 15. Yamakoshi K.
44. Hayashida K. 3. Ibayashi A. 15. Iwamoto K. 13. Maekawa T. 17. Makiyama K. 8. Mori Y. 11. Sano R. 23. Takahashi C. (G) 27. Yanagi Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Lucas Barcelos ⚽, Yanagisawa K. (A),
41', Miyazaki S. ↓, Hayashida K. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kokubun M. ↓, Makiyama K. ↑,
62', Ishikura J. ↓, Iwamoto K. ↑,
62', Asada H. ↓, Sano R. ↑,
75', Kodama S. ↓, Kanuma N. ↑,
75', Matsuda K. ↓, Moyo M. ↑,
75', Thonny Anderson ↓, Sugimoto T. ↑,
80', Goto Y. ↓, Maekawa T. ↑,
87', Ueno A. 🟨,
90+2', Miyazaki J. ↓, Kaique ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 1.
Tokushima is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Kamatamare has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Tokushima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Tokushima is the clear favorite.
We predict that Tokushima will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.3:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokushima won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
China
Japan
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Nagaishi T. (G) 
Lucas Barcelos 
Woo S. 
Izuchukwu L. 
