Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 2

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Pocarisweat Stadium (Naruto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tokushima Vortis		Albirex Niigata

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.15	3.5	Watch
	2.02	3.25	4.01
	1.96	3.33	3.86	Watch
	1.85	3.25	3.6
	1.95	3.39	3.8	Watch
	1.9	3.14	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.03)	3.25 ↑ (3.25)	3.83 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokushima Vortis
47.5%

Draw
28.4%

Albirex Niigata
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

27.9%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Tokushima Vortis - Albirex Niigata Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tokushima will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Mitsui D. (G) 15. Yamakoshi K. 3. Yamada N. 20. Matsuda K. 22. Yanagisawa K. 8. Iwao K. 42. Takagi Y. 7. Kodama S. 19. Miyazaki J. 9. Thonny Anderson 11. Lucas Barcelos	64. Baumann N. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 2. Geria J. 77. Funaki K. 26. Sato M. 22. Arai T. 40. Ishiyama A. 8. Shirai E. 24. Mori R. 13. Ochiai R. 30. Okumura J.
Substitutes
27. Izuchukwu L. 14. Kajiya Y. 6. Kanuma N. 97. Moyo M. 1. Nagaishi T. (G) 10. Sugimoto T. 25. Suzuki W. I. 24. Takada S. 77. Thales Paula	65. Boudah A. 5. Fitzgerald M. 46. Kasai K. 3. Kato T. 33. Matsuoka T. 7. Onishi Y. 28. Shimamura T. 71. Uchiyama S. (G) 18. Wakatsuki Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Matsuda K. ⚽, Yamada N. (A),
17', Lucas Barcelos 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Lucas Barcelos ⚽, Matsuda K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 3 - 0, Miyazaki J. ⚽,
56', Mori R. ↓, Matsuoka T. ↑,
56', Ochiai R. ↓, Wakatsuki Y. ↑,
56', Ishiyama A. ↓, Boudah A. ↑,
56', Okumura J. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
60', Lucas Barcelos ↓, Sugimoto T. ↑,
60', Iwao K. ↓, Kanuma N. ↑,
66', Thonny Anderson ↓, Kajiya Y. ↑,
72', 4 - 0, Kajiya Y. ⚽, Miyazaki J. (A),
79', Arai T. ↓, Onishi Y. ↑,
79', Miyazaki J. ↓, Izuchukwu L. ↑,
79', Yanagisawa K. ↓, Moyo M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 1.

Niigata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tokushima will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tokushima won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Tokushima Vortis - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 44.58%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Albirex Niigata - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.5%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 J3 League
07.02.26	Nara Club - Tokushima Vortis	0:6 ✺
Japan J2 League
12.12.25	JEF United Chiba - Tokushima Vortis	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Tokushima Vortis - Júbilo Iwata	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Tokushima Vortis - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Omiya Ardija - Tokushima Vortis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTTW
- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 J3 League
07.02.26	Ehime - Albirex Niigata	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.12.25	Tokyo - Albirex Niigata	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Albirex Niigata - Kashiwa Reysol	1:3 ✺
08.11.25	Shonan Bellmare - Albirex Niigata	5:2 ✺
26.10.25	Albirex Niigata - Vissel Kobe	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
06.08.22	Albirex Niigata - Tokushima Vortis	2:2
04.06.22	Tokushima Vortis - Albirex Niigata	1:1
25.10.20	Tokushima Vortis - Albirex Niigata	0:0
19.09.20	Albirex Niigata - Tokushima Vortis	0:1
04.08.19	Albirex Niigata - Tokushima Vortis	4:0
30.03.19	Tokushima Vortis - Albirex Niigata	1:0
11.11.18	Tokushima Vortis - Albirex Niigata	0:0

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