Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 13

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Tolentino		Pineto

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.75
	4.95	3.44	1.61
	4	3.4	1.75
	5.1	3.65	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↑ (4.02)	3.47 ↑ (3.29)	1.68 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tolentino
20%

Draw
26%

Pineto
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

27%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

26%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tolentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Pineto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolentino than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (-1%)

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tolentino won 2.

Tolentino has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pineto in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Pineto is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Tolentino won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Tolentino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Tolentino
Italian Serie D - Group F
20.11.22	Nuova Florida - Tolentino	2:2 ✺
13.11.22	Tolentino - Notaresco	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Chieti - Tolentino	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Montegiorgio - Tolentino	1:0 ✺
16.10.22	Tolentino - Sambenedettese	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLL
- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
20.11.22	Pineto - Avezzano	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Pineto - Nuova Florida	3:0 ✺
06.11.22	Notaresco - Pineto	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
02.11.22	Porto DAscoli - Pineto	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
30.10.22	Pineto - Chieti	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
15.05.22	Tolentino - Pineto	1:3
22.12.21	Pineto - Tolentino	0:1
28.03.21	Pineto - Tolentino	1:2
01.11.20	Tolentino - Pineto	0:0
23.02.20	Pineto - Tolentino	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie D
11.12.19	Pineto - Tolentino	1:2 penalties
Italian Serie D - Group F
20.10.19	Tolentino - Pineto	1:2

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