Match Info

2. SNL - Round 24

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday


	Tolmin		Beltinci

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	1.9
	3.95	3.4	1.8	Watch
	4.55	3.69	1.68
	4.21	3.59	1.82	Watch
	4.08	3.57	1.84
	3.95	3.4	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.7)	3.48 ↑ (3.35)	1.81 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tolmin
22.7%

Draw
26.4%

Beltinci
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

27.1%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

26.7%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tolmin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Beltinci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolmin than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beltinci than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Tolmin - Beltinci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Rantasa M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 0 - 2, Bajraj M. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Beltinci is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tolmin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.7:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Tolmin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Tolmin
Slovenian 2 SNL
11.04.25	Gorica - Tolmin	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Tolmin - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:2 ✺
28.03.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Tolmin	5:0 ✺
22.03.25	Tolmin - Dravinja	0:5 ✺
15.03.25	Jadran Dekani - Tolmin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLLW
- ND Beltinci
Slovenian 2 SNL
12.04.25	Beltinci - Krka	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Bilje - Beltinci	4:2 ✺
Slovenian Cup
03.04.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Beltinci	5:2 ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
28.03.25	Beltinci - Tabor Sežana	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Drava Ptuj - Beltinci	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
05.10.24	Beltinci - Tolmin	2:0
03.03.24	Tolmin - Beltinci	1:2
12.08.23	Beltinci - Tolmin	3:1

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