Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Tomares		Chiclana

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	1.93	3.32	3.85
	1.89	3.38	3.83	Watch
	1.91	3	3.8
	1.92	3.32	4.05
	2.3	2.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.3)	3.15 ↑ (2.8)	3.62 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomares
45.9%

Draw
28.9%

Chiclana
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

30.4%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

28.1%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tomares's performance.

Chiclana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chiclana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomares than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tomares that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiclana than the current prediction. (+5%)

Tomares - Chiclana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Sanchez M. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Rodriguez Rufo F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 1, Amaya J. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tomares won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chiclana	5	2	2	1	6:5	1	8
8	Tomares UD	5	2	2	1	6:5	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Tomares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
15.03.26	Linense - Tomares	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Tomares - Conil	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Atlético Onubense - Tomares	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Tomares - Atlético Central	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Pozoblanco - Tomares	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TLTTW
- Chiclana CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
15.03.26	Chiclana - Conil	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Atlético Central - Chiclana	0:0 ✺
04.03.26	Chiclana - Bollullos	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Chiclana - Utrera	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Ciudad de Lucena - Chiclana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
09.11.25	Chiclana - Tomares	2:0

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