Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Tomares		Conil

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.98	3.3
	2.09	3.07	3.57
	2.09	3.08	3.53
	2.1	2.88	3.5
	2.12	3.1	3.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.12)	3.02 ↑ (3)	3.5 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomares
43.6%

Draw
30.3%

Conil
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30.3%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

30.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Conil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomares than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conil than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Tomares - Conil Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', 1 - 0, ⚽,
88', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 10).

In recent matches, Tomares has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Conil is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Tomares has had a series of away games.

Tomares might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tomares won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tomares won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Tomares UD	5	2	2	1	6:5	1	8
12	Conil	5	2	0	3	4:7	-3	6

Last Results with these Odds

Conil - the odds 3.38 are the expected chance of winning is 26.87%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Tomares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
01.03.26	Atlético Onubense - Tomares	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Tomares - Atlético Central	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Pozoblanco - Tomares	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	San Roque de Lepe - Tomares	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Castilleja - Tomares	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTWLL
- Conil CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
01.03.26	Conil - Atlético Central	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Utrera - Conil	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Conil - Dos Hermanas	1:3 ✺
11.02.26	Cadiz CF B - Conil	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Conil - Ciudad de Lucena	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
26.10.25	Conil - Tomares	2:0
02.02.25	Conil - Tomares	0:0
22.09.24	Tomares - Conil	1:0
20.02.22	Conil - Tomares	2:1
24.10.21	Tomares - Conil	0:1

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