Match Info

National League South - Round 4

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday


	Tonbridge Angels		Chesham United

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.1	2.2
	2.92	3.25	2.28
	3.07	3.29	2.29
	2.96	3.13	2.39	Watch
	3.09	3.26	2.21
	2.52	3.45	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.44)	3.25 ↓ (3.75)	2.31 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tonbridge Angels
31.7%

Draw
28.4%

Chesham United
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

24.5%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

24.4%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tonbridge Angels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tonbridge Angels's form might have worsened.

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tonbridge Angels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Tonbridge Angels - Chesham United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tonbridge (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Tonbridge has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chesham is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Chesham has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tonbridge won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Tonbridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
19.08.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Tonbridge Angels	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Totton - Tonbridge Angels	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	Tonbridge Angels - Slough Town	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Tonbridge Angels - Kingstonian	1:0 ✺
29.07.25	Tonbridge Angels - Lewes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLTWW
- Chesham United
English National League South
19.08.25	Chesham United - Horsham	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Chesham United - Farnborough	3:2 ✺
09.08.25	Maidenhead United - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Chesham United - Billericay Town	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Chesham United - Oxford City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
11.03.25	Chesham United - Tonbridge Angels	0:1
17.12.24	Tonbridge Angels - Chesham United	1:0

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