Match Info

National League South - Round 8

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: The Meadow (Chesham)


	Chesham United		Billericay Town

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.40	3.30
	2.02	3.35	3.2
	1.95	3.7	3.64
	1.96	3.72	3.45	Watch
	1.9	3.65	3.6
	1.93	3.85	3.44
	2.03	3.4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.89)	3.58 ↑ (3.3)	3.4 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
47.2%

Draw
25.8%

Billericay Town
27.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.1%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

26%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Billericay Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Chesham United - Billericay Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (2.15) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Ruff C. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Benton J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 2, Weiss M. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 15).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Chesham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chesham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Chesham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Billericay	11	6	3	2	25:14	11	21
19	Chesham	11	3	1	7	16:24	-8	10

Outrights of English National League South for now

Billericay: 3.53% Chesham: 0.74%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English National League South
05.09.26	Truro City - Chesham United	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Chesham United - Dover Athletic	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Totton - Chesham United	0:4 ✺
22.08.26	Chesham United - Walton & Hersham	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Farnborough - Chesham United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWWL
- Billericay Town
English National League South
05.09.26	Billericay Town - Dorking Wanderers	3:3 ✺
31.08.26	Salisbury - Billericay Town	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Billericay Town - Tonbridge Angels	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Farnham Town - Billericay Town	2:4 ✺
15.08.26	Totton - Billericay Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.07.25	Chesham United - Billericay Town	2:1
English FA Trophy
31.10.15	Billericay Town - Chesham United	0:2

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