Match Info
Campeonato Nacional U19 - Relegation Group - Round 9Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday
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 |
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 |
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Tondela U19 |
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Belenenses U19 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.82 |
3.3 |
3.85 |
|
 |
1.66 |
3.59 |
4.74 |
|
 |
1.81 |
3.48 |
3.97 |
|
 |
1.84 |
3.57 |
4.09 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.84) |
3.49 ↑
(3.29) |
4.16 ↑
(3.94) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tondela U19
51.6% | Draw
26.4% | Belenenses U19
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tondela U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Belenenses U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela U19 than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tondela U19 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses U19 than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belenenses U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Tondela U19 - Belenenses U19 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 65', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.Tondela U19 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Tondela U19 is seen as the favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tondela U19 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Tondela U19 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19 | | | 21.02.26 | Belenenses U19 - Tondela U19 | 1:0 | | 29.11.25 | Belenenses U19 - Tondela U19 | 0:1 | | 19.08.25 | Tondela U19 - Belenenses U19 | 2:3 | | 24.11.24 | Tondela U19 - Belenenses U19 | 1:1 | | 18.08.24 | Belenenses U19 - Tondela U19 | 1:4 |
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