Match Info

Campeonato Nacional U19 - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Belenenses U19		Tondela U19

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.92	2.28
	3.18	2.97	2.26
	3.1	2.7	2.25
	3.22	2.88	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.62)	2.87 ↓ (3.21)	2.26 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belenenses U19
28.7%

Draw
31.4%

Tondela U19
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

28.3%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belenenses U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belenenses U19's form might have worsened.

Tondela U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Belenenses U19 - Tondela U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Tondela U19 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tondela U19 has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Belenenses U19 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Belenenses U19 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Belenenses U19 - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34.61%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belenenses U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
31.01.26	Belenenses U19 - Torreense U19	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Mafra U19 - Belenenses U19	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Mafra U19 - Belenenses U19	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Belenenses U19 - Torreense U19	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Belenenses U19 - Leiria U19	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLTWW
- Tondela U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
07.02.26	Tondela U19 - Alverca U19	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Tondela U19 - Mafra U19	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Académico de Viseu U19 - Tondela U19	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Tondela U19 - Benfica U19	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Tondela U19 - Torreense U19	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
29.11.25	Belenenses U19 - Tondela U19	0:1
19.08.25	Tondela U19 - Belenenses U19	2:3
24.11.24	Tondela U19 - Belenenses U19	1:1
18.08.24	Belenenses U19 - Tondela U19	1:4

Belenenses U19 - Tondela U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide