Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 1 - Södra - Round 10

Date: 24 May 2024, Friday

Location: Tornvallen Stangby Konstgras (Lund)


	Torn		AFC Malmö

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.77
	3.5	3.75	1.87
	3.6	4.13	1.81
	3.74	4.15	1.78
	3.91	3.86	1.8	Watch
	3.4	3.75	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (2.49)	3.87 ↑ (3.54)	1.81 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torn
25.4%

Draw
23.8%

AFC Malmö
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

26%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

25.9%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Torn's form might have worsened.

AFC Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Malmö's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torn than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Malmö, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Torn - AFC Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Torn will win (votes: 3 - 50%). AFC Malmö will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Larsson A. (G) 15. Fatahi M. 6. Hallberg O. 14. Jacobsson J. 11. Kallstrom H. 9. Karaman E. 23. Kukoyi R. 19. Lynard J. (C) 24. Obasoto A. 26. Persson E. 5. Persson L.	33. Nilsson W. (G) 17. Amadi U. 30. Awad A. 3. Bjurnemark A. 4. Blomqvist A. 8. Brannefalk J. 20. Habibi A. (C) 15. Ibrahim U. 12. Mehmed E. 6. Nouri B. 21. Reinholdsson A.
Substitutes
7. Ambaye M. 27. Johansen J. 10. Khattab O. 30. Norlander R. (G) 3. Sandberg T. 20. Wassholm T. 16. Winberg A.	5. Bunjaku G. 1. Egly V. (G) 19. Lundstrom R. 9. Mesic D. 10. Reuterskiold A. 11. Sabriye A. 14. Wettergren L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Awad A. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Karaman E. (Pen),
37', Nouri B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 2 - 1, Kallstrom H. ⚽,
55', Mehmed E. ↓, Sabriye A. ↑,
57', 2 - 2, Awad A. ⚽,
68', Persson E. ↓, Johansen J. ↑,
73', Jacobsson J. 🟨,
74', Fatahi M. ↓, Khattab O. ↑,
76', Awad A. ↓, Wettergren L. ↑,
76', Habibi A. ↓, Reuterskiold A. ↑,
76', Khattab O. 🟨,
76', Brannefalk J. ↓, Mesic D. ↑,
76', Kukoyi R. ↓, Winberg A. ↑,
88', 3 - 2, Lynard J. ⚽,
90+6', Hallberg O. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 and 5).

Torn is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ariana is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Ariana have a series of home games.

Ariana will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Torn won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Torn won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torns IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
18.05.24	Falkenberg - Torn	5:0 ✺
12.05.24	Torn - Onsala	2:0 ✺
09.05.24	Torn - Jönköpings Södra	4:2 ✺
04.05.24	Norrby - Torn	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Torn - Tvååker	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWWTW
- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 1 Södra
19.05.24	AFC Malmö - Trollhättan	0:1 ✺
12.05.24	Torslanda - AFC Malmö	3:1 ✺
08.05.24	AFC Malmö - Rosengård 1917	2:2 ✺
05.05.24	AFC Malmö - Lunds	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	AFC Malmö - Oskarshamn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
25.08.23	AFC Malmö - Torn	3:0
09.06.23	Torn - AFC Malmö	0:0

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